Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#37
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#39
Pace73.9#50
Improvement-3.6#315

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#77
Improvement-3.8#323

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#28
Improvement+0.2#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 85.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 85.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.1% n/a n/a
First Round82.7% n/a n/a
Second Round37.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 322   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 96-61 98%     1 - 0 +20.8 +9.7 +7.7
  Nov 12, 2013 208   Miami (OH) W 90-54 93%     2 - 0 +30.7 +14.8 +15.0
  Nov 15, 2013 254   Idaho St. W 88-60 95%     3 - 0 +20.3 +6.6 +12.7
  Nov 19, 2013 77   @ UNLV W 86-80 55%     4 - 0 +15.5 +6.1 +8.5
  Nov 22, 2013 199   Bradley W 70-58 92%     5 - 0 +7.0 +5.9 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2013 61   Marquette W 79-77 69%     6 - 0 +7.8 +14.8 -6.8
  Nov 28, 2013 9   Creighton L 60-88 29%     6 - 1 -11.3 -11.0 -0.3
  Nov 29, 2013 194   College of Charleston W 80-58 88%     7 - 1 +20.3 +17.3 +4.8
  Dec 01, 2013 73   Miami (FL) L 57-60 64%     7 - 2 +4.1 +1.1 +2.4
  Dec 06, 2013 154   @ DePaul W 78-56 75%     8 - 2 +25.7 +2.6 +22.0
  Dec 14, 2013 351   Grambling St. W 97-55 99%     9 - 2 +20.8 +6.9 +12.3
  Dec 21, 2013 71   Texas Tech W 76-62 73%     10 - 2 +18.4 +6.2 +12.6
  Dec 28, 2013 98   UC Irvine W 74-61 80%     11 - 2 +14.9 -0.5 +14.2
  Jan 02, 2014 91   Washington L 65-76 77%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -8.0 -11.6 +4.2
  Jan 05, 2014 158   Washington St. W 66-47 89%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +16.8 -1.6 +19.7
  Jan 09, 2014 143   @ USC W 79-60 73%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +23.5 +3.3 +18.6
  Jan 12, 2014 11   @ UCLA L 72-87 23%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +3.8 +0.7 +4.4
  Jan 16, 2014 2   @ Arizona L 68-91 13%     13 - 5 2 - 3 -0.1 +3.6 -1.4
  Jan 23, 2014 33   Utah W 79-75 58%     14 - 5 3 - 3 +12.9 +12.3 +0.6
  Jan 25, 2014 55   Colorado W 72-51 66%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +27.5 +7.0 +21.4
  Jan 29, 2014 62   @ California W 89-78 OT 49%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +22.2 +9.0 +11.6
  Feb 01, 2014 34   @ Stanford L 70-76 37%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +8.3 +3.0 +5.4
  Feb 06, 2014 90   Oregon St. W 86-82 OT 77%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +7.2 -0.8 +7.3
  Feb 08, 2014 24   Oregon W 74-72 51%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +12.7 -0.7 +13.3
  Feb 14, 2014 2   Arizona W 69-66 2OT 27%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +20.3 +0.3 +19.6
  Feb 19, 2014 55   @ Colorado L 52-61 45%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +3.1 -10.7 +13.3
  Feb 23, 2014 33   @ Utah L 63-86 36%     19 - 8 8 - 6 -8.5 -9.4 +3.7
  Feb 26, 2014 34   Stanford W 76-64 58%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +20.8 +12.0 +9.6
  Mar 01, 2014 62   California W 78-60 70%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +23.6 +16.1 +9.4
  Mar 04, 2014 24   @ Oregon L 78-85 30%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +9.2 +7.3 +2.2
  Mar 08, 2014 90   @ Oregon St. L 76-78 OT 58%     21 - 10 10 - 8 +6.7 +2.3 +4.5
  Mar 13, 2014 34   Stanford L 58-79 47%     21 - 11 -9.4 -5.7 -5.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 85.2% 85.2% 9.8 0.0 0.6 8.4 21.1 34.1 20.5 0.4 14.8 85.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 85.2% 0.0% 85.2% 9.8 0.0 0.6 8.4 21.1 34.1 20.5 0.4 14.8 85.2%